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Everton have under-performed their Expected Goals (xG) by 13.8 goals, which is almost twice as much as anyone else in the Premier League, and naturally the main reason for this has been profligate finishing from the forwards.

If there was ever a time for Calvert-Lewin to go on a hot streak, it’s now.

He has scored three goals in his last five appearances against Burnley, who have conceded at least twice in their last six away matches.

This is the perfect opportunity, then, for Calvert-Lewin to build on that penalty and restore order.

Which of Isak or Muniz will shine in goal fest?

Fulham have scored three or more goals on seven different occasions at Craven Cottage this season, while across their last 20 Premier League contests, there have been 71 goals scored at an average of 3.55 per match.

As for Newcastle, they are yet to play out a goalless draw, have the joint-second highest xG in the division, with 57.6, and have the sixth worst xG against, with 52.0.

Better still for neutrals, both sides have an in-form striker.

Rodrigo Muniz has scored six goals in his last four home contests, and his four-game streak at Craven Cottage is the longest of any Fulham player in Premier League history.

Meanwhile, Alexander Isak has scored 15 goals in 22 Premier League matches this season and five in his last four encounters.

Both sides will create chances and both will concede chances. With Muniz and Isak lurking in the penalty area, we are virtually guaranteed goals.

But this is Oliver Glasner’s first time facing Pep Guardiola. Palace’s tried-and-tested 4-4-2 has been replaced by a 5-4-1 that might be a lot less secure.

In the 2-2 draw in December, Roy Hodgson played a 5-4-1 and Palace were torn apart – until a late flurry of action earned the Eagles a surprise point.

The problem was that by selecting just one forward, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Palace could not block the first pass from Man City’s defenders into the midfielders, allowing Guardiola’s team an easy passage into the penalty area.

Foden will enjoy finding space once again, should Glasner deploy his usual 5-4-1. The two central midfielders will be stretched wide and overworked, giving Foden – the hat-trick hero on Wednesday, and scorer of five goals in his last five away games – room to pick holes.

Can Luton rediscover home form before it’s too late?
For so long looking like they were going to scrap their way to safety, Luton are in danger of falling limply away.

They are without a Premier League win in their last 10 matches, and although they have played four of the current top five in that time, Luton have also picked up only two points from four encounters against sides in the bottom half.

One of those was a 4-3 defeat at Bournemouth, who were trailing 3-0 at half-time. It was the kind of result that can destroy morale.

Here, then, is a chance to put things right. Rob Edwards’ side have four matches left at Kenilworth Road and all of them are winnable.

Can Ait-Nouri best Coufal as O’Neil looks to solve West Ham jinx
It might not immediately jump out from the fixtures but the battle at Molineux is among the most significant head-to-heads this weekend: just three points separates West Ham in seventh and Wolves in 11th.

Gary O’Neil has a curiously poor record against West Ham. He has lost all three matches against them by an aggregate score of 9-0, which includes a 3-0 defeat at London Stadium earlier this season.

But there is reason to believe this will be fourth time lucky.

Wolves have won six of their last nine home Premier League encounters, and in such good form O’Neil can be confident of exploiting West Ham’s main weakness.

In the last two matches, Vladimir Coufal has struggled. In the 4-3 defeat to Newcastle United he gave away the penalty for the first goal, lost Harvey Barnes for the third and was beaten by Anthony Gordon as he set up the fourth.

Against Spurs, he was beaten too easily in the fifth minute by Timo Werner, who crossed for Brennan Johnson to score the opener.

This is good news for Rayan Ait-Nouri, who, enjoying a more advanced role on the left wing, has scored three goals in his last four appearances in all competitions. His battle with Coufal could be decisive.

Does Glasner’s back five give Man City a better chance against their bogey team?
Man City have only won two of their last five Premier League matches against Crystal Palace, who have historically known how to sit back, absorb pressure and counter-attack behind City’s high line.

Rashford has scored seven goals for Man Utd against Liverpool in all competitions, the fourth-most of any United player in THIS fixture.

If Ten Hag similarly goes for Liverpool’s academy products on that side, Man Utd could dent Liverpool’s title hopes.

How will Arsenal cope with different away challenge?
Things aren’t quite as rosy as they seem for Arsenal. They have had superb results in 2024, but the real challenge starts now.

Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last four away Premier League contests and, following up a valuable 0-0 draw at Manchester City with a 2-0 victory over Luton Town, have won nine and drawn one of their 10 encounters in 2024.

However, putting to one side the unique circumstances of their defensive showing at Man City, their away matches in 2024 (won by an aggregate of 19-1) have been the simplest of fixtures: Nottingham Forest, West Ham, Burnley and Sheff Utd.

They have four away matches left – and each one is significantly harder than anything Arsenal have faced since the end of December, when they lost 2-1 at Fulham.

Wolverhampton Wanderers, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd are still to come, but first is a trip to Brighton, who are unbeaten in their last 12 home Premier League matches, winning six and drawing six.

It is noteworthy that Arsenal haven’t trailed for a single minute in any of their five away league matches in 2024. How will the Gunners respond if a confrontational and fearless Brighton take the lead on Saturday?